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Africa Covid-19 #7030506
10/28/20 03:56 PM
10/28/20 03:56 PM
Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
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Pike River Offline OP
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Pike River  Offline OP
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Joined: Oct 2018
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Dunbar, Wisconsin
Its interesting that Africa is not being devastated by Covid like many thought and is actually faring better than most of the rest of the world.

This April, as the novel coronavirus accelerated its global sweep of devastation, pandemic modelers in Addis Ababa and London had dire predictions for the continent of Africa. They foresaw a best-case scenario of 300 thousand COVID deaths and a worst-case of 3.3 million deaths and 1.2 billion infections without mitigation measures. The World Economic Forum substantiated this by declaring that ďin Africa, deaths from COVID-19 might far exceed what the world is seeing.Ē

Now, seven months later, Africa has recorded 1.2 million cases and 36 thousand deaths. Thatís one-tenth of the best-case and one-hundredth of the predicted worst-case scenarios for the continent.

Letís put this into a global perspective. The global share of COVID deaths to share of the global population is 5 for the US, 2.3 for Europe and 0.26 for Africa.



Scientists, health experts and policymakers within and outside the African continent have struggled to find answers for this stunning observation of an exponentially lower than expected Africa virus toll. Finding solutions to this puzzle will have dramatic implications ó not only for Africa but also for the rest of the world.

From presidents to scientists, the continent has taken justifiable pride in these observations. A continent long-inured to being underestimated, misunderstood and subject to colonial stereotyping, has found a resounding public health success to celebrate and rally around.

How can the earthís poorest continent by almost any health, income, or education measure, including the UNís Human Development Index, lead the world? How can a continent where 56 percent of its urban population is concentrated in non-social distanced slums, and where only 34 percent of households have access to basic handwashing facilities, largely avoid this viral scourge? These conditions have resulted in Africa having the highest rates of malaria, tuberculosis, AIDS and measles deaths in the world. Not only does COVID not follow this dismal trend, but it has reversed it ó demonstrating a dramatically lower toll than any other continent.

This is explained by significant under-diagnosis and underreporting of cases because of a lack of testing capacity and low-quality reporting systems. To date, Africa has conducted only 13 million tests, covering about 1 percent of the population. Massive undercounting is certainly true for infections, but much less evident for deaths, a more reliable indicator of disease burden. It is estimated that official systems capture only one in three deaths in Africa. But even when this is factored in, a dramatically lower African mortality rate persists.

The few antibody surveys that have been conducted in Africa revealed a 5 percent infection rate in Kenya blood donors and a 12 percent infection rate in Malawi health care workers. Kenyaís infection rate is similar to Spainís in mid-May when Spain had 27,000 deaths. Kenyaís toll was only about 100 at the same time.

Experts within and outside Africa have offered many explanatory hypotheses for Africaís outperformance. Is there some genetic or pre-existing immune protection? A different and weaker virus strain? An immune boost from other communicable diseases? Cross-immunity from previous coronavirus infections? Cultural factors such as outdoor village life with natural physical distancing? Higher temperatures and humidity?

Africans have highlighted the predominant role of regional policy successes such as tight lockdowns, border controls, and unprecedented continent-wide cooperation, to explain why Sub-Saharan Africa has dodged a deadly wave. Mo Ibrahim, a Sudanese businessman, noted that ďAfrican governments responded better than governments in the UK or U.S. The virus doesnít seem to like us.Ē

Africa has the worldís youngest population by a wide margin. Its median age is 18. Europeís is 42 and North Americaís is 35. COVIDís global toll is skewed exponentially by increasing age. Those over age 65 experience 80 percent of the mortality and those under 15 an extremely low 0.08 percent. Thatís a 1000-fold difference.

Does the age-structure of Africa explain most of the continentís amazing performance? Only 3 percent of Africaís population is over age 65. The comparable number for North America is 15 percent and 18 percent for Europe. On the younger side of the age spectrum, 41 percent of Africans are under 15, whereas only 19 percent of North Americans and 16 percent of Europeans are in this age group.

The continentís dramatically young demographic is sufficient to explain it as the main driver of the African COVID experience. Accelerating population immunity will also be a major contributor to putting brakes on the pandemic. So is the age-related observation that 80 percent of Africa's infections are asymptomatic, double the proportion in the rest of the world. Other demographic, genetic, immunologic, environmental and policy factors may certainly contribute and merit intensive study. Epidemiologic puzzles are multifaceted, especially COVID. But for now, this important observation, no longer hypothetical, should frame the approach to sharing transportable science and policy benefits.

Africaís low illness and the death toll has allowed earlier reopening of societies and revitalizing hard-hit economies and jobs.

The continentís spectacular success has kindled optimism, determination and cohesion among frequently fragmented regions and countries. It has also spurred extensive scientific collaboration to reap both critical knowledge and vital capacity-building for Africaís future. Gloriously, Africa is the first in the world to see the light at the end of the pandemic tunnel.

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030510
10/28/20 04:03 PM
10/28/20 04:03 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 2,659
Yukon
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yukon254 Offline
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Yukon
Wonder why they need to do studies and spend millions to figure this^ out?? Answer is simple. In Africa hospitals and doctors are not getting paid every time a covid case is diagnosed....


do unto others as you would have them do unto you

www.grizzlycreeklodge.com
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030523
10/28/20 04:17 PM
10/28/20 04:17 PM
Joined: Sep 2013
Posts: 7,246
Green County Wisconsin
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GREENCOUNTYPETE Offline
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Green County Wisconsin
if your to weak to survive covid there were 12 other things in Africa that were going to kill you first.

not may 80 year old's in Africa where 65 is OLD


half my family is over 65 with some as old as 92


America only has one issue, we have a Responsibility crisis and everything else stems from it.
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: GREENCOUNTYPETE] #7030541
10/28/20 04:35 PM
10/28/20 04:35 PM
Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
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Pike River Offline OP
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Pike River  Offline OP
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Dunbar, Wisconsin
Originally Posted by GREENCOUNTYPETE
if your to weak to survive covid there were 12 other things in Africa that were going to kill you first.

not may 80 year old's in Africa where 65 is OLD


half my family is over 65 with some as old as 92


Half??? You folks need to start doing some more baby making. laugh

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: yukon254] #7030544
10/28/20 04:38 PM
10/28/20 04:38 PM
Joined: Apr 2009
Posts: 5,717
South Ga - Almost Florida
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Swamp Wolf Offline
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Swamp Wolf  Offline
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Joined: Apr 2009
Posts: 5,717
South Ga - Almost Florida
Originally Posted by yukon254
Wonder why they need to do studies and spend millions to figure this^ out?? Answer is simple. In Africa hospitals and doctors are not getting paid every time a covid case is diagnosed....

Here is the real reason^^^^^


Thank God For Your Blessings!

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Swamp Wolf] #7030550
10/28/20 04:48 PM
10/28/20 04:48 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Leftlane Offline
"HOSS"
Leftlane  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Originally Posted by Swamp Wolf
Originally Posted by yukon254
Wonder why they need to do studies and spend millions to figure this^ out?? Answer is simple. In Africa hospitals and doctors are not getting paid every time a covid case is diagnosed....

Here is the real reason^^^^^



Sometimes the simplest answer is the only answer you need (Turn CNN off folks- they lied and ppl haven't died [from covid])


"Our nation is witnessing a merciless campaign to wipe out our history, defame our heroes, erase our values, and indoctrinate our children."
D. Trump
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030554
10/28/20 04:53 PM
10/28/20 04:53 PM
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 28,144
james bay frontierOnt.
B
Boco Online content
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Boco  Online Content
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Posts: 28,144
james bay frontierOnt.
If its so great over there go move there.

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030575
10/28/20 05:04 PM
10/28/20 05:04 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Leftlane Offline
"HOSS"
Leftlane  Offline
"HOSS"

Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Don't you have some beaver you need to skin out in the shop?


"Our nation is witnessing a merciless campaign to wipe out our history, defame our heroes, erase our values, and indoctrinate our children."
D. Trump
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030582
10/28/20 05:07 PM
10/28/20 05:07 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,695
Rodney,Ohio
SNIPERB🦝 Offline
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Rodney,Ohio
Not a single word about hydroxycloroquine...they practically live off the stuff there because it's a malaria treatment.

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: yukon254] #7030587
10/28/20 05:09 PM
10/28/20 05:09 PM
Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
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Pike River Offline OP
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Pike River  Offline OP
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Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
Originally Posted by yukon254
Wonder why they need to do studies and spend millions to figure this^ out?? Answer is simple. In Africa hospitals and doctors are not getting paid every time a covid case is diagnosed....

That has been debunked 3 ways from Sunday for quite some time now.

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: SNIPERB🦝] #7030590
10/28/20 05:10 PM
10/28/20 05:10 PM
Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
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Pike River Offline OP
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Pike River  Offline OP
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Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
Originally Posted by SNIPERB🦝
Not a single word about hydroxycloroquine...they practically live off the stuff there because it's a malaria treatment.

Interesting observation. Perhaps it's that and their general higher immune system?

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030594
10/28/20 05:12 PM
10/28/20 05:12 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Leftlane Offline
"HOSS"
Leftlane  Offline
"HOSS"

Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Originally Posted by Pike River
Originally Posted by yukon254
Wonder why they need to do studies and spend millions to figure this^ out?? Answer is simple. In Africa hospitals and doctors are not getting paid every time a covid case is diagnosed....

That has been debunked 3 ways from Sunday for quite some time now.



By who- the same scientific community that said global warming would kill us all by 2020?


"Our nation is witnessing a merciless campaign to wipe out our history, defame our heroes, erase our values, and indoctrinate our children."
D. Trump
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030598
10/28/20 05:14 PM
10/28/20 05:14 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Leftlane Offline
"HOSS"
Leftlane  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
You see what I did there right?


"Our nation is witnessing a merciless campaign to wipe out our history, defame our heroes, erase our values, and indoctrinate our children."
D. Trump
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Leftlane] #7030599
10/28/20 05:15 PM
10/28/20 05:15 PM
Joined: May 2018
Posts: 2,728
SW Georgia
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Wanna Be Offline
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Wanna Be  Offline
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Joined: May 2018
Posts: 2,728
SW Georgia
Originally Posted by Leftlane
You see what I did there right?

I see, you jinxed us! 2020 ainít over yet!

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Wanna Be] #7030605
10/28/20 05:17 PM
10/28/20 05:17 PM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Leftlane Offline
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Leftlane  Offline
"HOSS"

Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 8,168
The Hill Country of Texas
Originally Posted by Wanna Be
Originally Posted by Leftlane
You see what I did there right?

I see, you jinxed us! 2020 ainít over yet!


Yeah but science that isnt junked up by politics might be over unfortunately


"Our nation is witnessing a merciless campaign to wipe out our history, defame our heroes, erase our values, and indoctrinate our children."
D. Trump
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030608
10/28/20 05:17 PM
10/28/20 05:17 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 18,607
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
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williamsburg ks
Wait a minute. A f ew weeks ago black people were more susceptible than white people. I dont believe much of anything on th e news about the zombie virus. At least they are not still claiming that bodies have to be stored in refrigerated truck trailers as there is no room in the morgues.

P.S. those of you that saw that news brief a few days ago that E KS hospitals were so full patients were being sent to Mo can relax. Just one more lie.


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030611
10/28/20 05:20 PM
10/28/20 05:20 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 8,031
Magna, Utah
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GritGuy Offline
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Lots of nasties live over there, and if you grow up with them you get used to them.

Not to mention Quinin they been using for years for Malaria, but don't let anyone else tell the super Doctors about any of these ideas !


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Sorry if my opinions or replies offend you, they are not meant to !

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: danny clifton] #7030619
10/28/20 05:29 PM
10/28/20 05:29 PM
Joined: Oct 2018
Posts: 3,840
Dunbar, Wisconsin
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Pike River Offline OP
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Originally Posted by danny clifton
Wait a minute. A f ew weeks ago black people were more susceptible than white people. I dont believe much of anything on th e news about the zombie virus. At least they are not still claiming that bodies have to be stored in refrigerated truck trailers as there is no room in the morgues.

P.S. those of you that saw that news brief a few days ago that E KS hospitals were so full patients were being sent to Mo can relax. Just one more lie.

That's a sad and divisive narrative. It was black Americans and they were tying it to their socioeconomic status(poor whites were having similar numbers). However the poorest Americans are still doing better than the average African. So it kind of blows that argument up that they have.

Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030764
10/28/20 07:14 PM
10/28/20 07:14 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 34,336
Minnesota
330-Trapper Offline
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Minnesota
Originally Posted by Pike River
Originally Posted by SNIPERB🦝
Not a single word about hydroxycloroquine...they practically live off the stuff there because it's a malaria treatment.

Interesting observation. Perhaps it's that and their general higher immune system?

Hmmm


NRA and NTA Life Member
www.BackroadsRevised@etsy.com




Re: Africa Covid-19 [Re: Pike River] #7030774
10/28/20 07:20 PM
10/28/20 07:20 PM
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 2,547
Ohio
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stinkypete Offline
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Ohio
So Africa is setting precedence??? In what??? Covid? All honesty. I donít believe much of anything I hear or see on the news. Especially from a corrupt country as Africa.

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