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Covid stats #7045110
11/10/20 04:04 PM
11/10/20 04:04 PM
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 10,787
Asheville, NC
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charles Offline OP
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charles  Offline OP
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Joined: Aug 2010
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1 of every 32 Americans have or has had the positive Covid virus.

In a gathering of 50 people, there is a 69% probability that someone has a positive infection.

In a gathering of 15 people, there is a 29% probability of a positive person.

Scary numbers if you are a WalMart shopper or must work in a public position.

Last edited by charles; 11/10/20 04:05 PM.
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045166
11/10/20 05:04 PM
11/10/20 05:04 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Online Content
"Grumpy Old Man"
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
what is scary about it? you think you can hide from it? sooner or later everybody gets exposed. so far everyone i know that had it was not very sick and only for a few days.


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045173
11/10/20 05:09 PM
11/10/20 05:09 PM
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 5,152
Northern Minnesota
BernieB. Offline
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BernieB.  Offline
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Northern Minnesota
Originally Posted by charles
1 of every 32 Americans have or has had the positive Covid virus.

In a gathering of 50 people, there is a 69% probability that someone has a positive infection.

In a gathering of 15 people, there is a 29% probability of a positive person.

Scary numbers if you are a WalMart shopper or must work in a public position.


What's scary about it?

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045175
11/10/20 05:13 PM
11/10/20 05:13 PM
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,324
AK
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FairbanksLS Offline
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FairbanksLS  Offline
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AK
So take that a little further please and tell me how many people that is out of that group of 50.


formerly posting as white dog
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045176
11/10/20 05:13 PM
11/10/20 05:13 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Online Content
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Joined: Dec 2006
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williamsburg ks
No way it killed 200,000 unless that number is worldwide deaths. Probably the same people saying that are the ones that said reefer trailers were being used as temporary morgues.

My sons mother in law had been unresponsive for two years in a coma. A result of diabetes. She died at the end of June. Of covid 19 of course.


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045179
11/10/20 05:14 PM
11/10/20 05:14 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,971
Oklahoma
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Matt28 Offline
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Oklahoma
Originally Posted by charles
1 of every 32 Americans have or has had the positive Covid virus.

In a gathering of 50 people, there is a 69% probability that someone has a positive infection.

In a gathering of 15 people, there is a 29% probability of a positive person.

Scary numbers if you are a WalMart shopper or must work in a public position.

My wife works at Walmart. She hasn't caught it yet.

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045181
11/10/20 05:15 PM
11/10/20 05:15 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
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williamsburg ks
probably cause they make her wear a zombie proof mask Matt28


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045184
11/10/20 05:19 PM
11/10/20 05:19 PM
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 3,972
South Dakota
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Rat Masterson Offline
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Stay home then if your afraid. The info is out there, make your own decision, I'll make mine.

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045188
11/10/20 05:22 PM
11/10/20 05:22 PM
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 10,787
Asheville, NC
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charles Offline OP
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charles  Offline OP
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Joined: Aug 2010
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Asheville, NC
There Is a 69% chance that one or more people in that group of 50 is positive. Could be one or more and could be zero. More likely that it Is more than zero than that it Is zero, since 69% is greater than 50%. Does not say that 69% have Covid.

Did that answer your question?

Last edited by charles; 11/10/20 05:25 PM.
Re: Covid stats [Re: danny clifton] #7045192
11/10/20 05:25 PM
11/10/20 05:25 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,971
Oklahoma
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Matt28 Offline
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Oklahoma
They do make them wear the mask but I don't think a mask will keep you from getting it if you are in constant with it. The odds are really high that she had been in contact with the virus many many times. My mom went to the chiropractor and later found out he tested positive 2 day after she was there. She didn't wear a mask she went got tested and was negative. Over 95 percent of the people the chiropractor was in contact with got it. All that is nuts if I believe the TV and the media and a few on here that means my whole family should be dead. My wife is a sheep and follows the mask rules. I dont go to public place much so I dont see a need for me to were one.
Originally Posted by danny clifton
probably cause they make her wear a zombie proof mask Matt28

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045198
11/10/20 05:30 PM
11/10/20 05:30 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,971
Oklahoma
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Matt28 Offline
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Oklahoma
My small county has seen the numbers shoot up like crazy the last month mostly because of the prison that had a bad out break, but our of all them people that have it or have caught it. No one is freaking out or acting like a few on here, heck some are dieing around here from it but people still are calm and acting like normal. Its life folks we all will die and I am pretty sure covid is a better death the suffering from cancer or at least the people I have seen die of cancer it didn't look easy.

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045199
11/10/20 05:31 PM
11/10/20 05:31 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Online Content
"Grumpy Old Man"
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
My grandsons live in girlfriend tested positive. So both are on a 14 day quarantine. Are not allowed to go to work. She never was very sick. Grandson keeps testing negative. Anybody got an explanation for that?


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: FairbanksLS] #7045201
11/10/20 05:33 PM
11/10/20 05:33 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 17,550
Rodney,Ohio
SNIPERBBB Online happy
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Rodney,Ohio
.

Last edited by SNIPERB🦝; 11/10/20 05:34 PM.
Re: Covid stats [Re: danny clifton] #7045207
11/10/20 05:38 PM
11/10/20 05:38 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 17,550
Rodney,Ohio
SNIPERBBB Online happy
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Rodney,Ohio
Originally Posted by danny clifton
My grandsons live in girlfriend tested positive. So both are on a 14 day quarantine. Are not allowed to go to work. She never was very sick. Grandson keeps testing negative. Anybody got an explanation for that?


The testing or the quarantine? Quarantine rules vary but depends on whether he's classified ad being exposed. Being "exposed" has changed so many times I can't remember what they are now off hand

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045211
11/10/20 05:40 PM
11/10/20 05:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Online Content
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Joined: Dec 2006
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explanation why grandson keeps testing negative


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045215
11/10/20 05:46 PM
11/10/20 05:46 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 17,550
Rodney,Ohio
SNIPERBBB Online happy
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SNIPERBBB  Online Happy
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Rodney,Ohio
If girlfriend had the PCR test showing positive it's likely oversensitive. Assuming he lives in KS they use an extremely high cycle threshold that the girlfriend might just only have fragments of the virus left in her system.

PCR test can be best thought of as zooming in to find the virus. Past 30 cycles youre having a very low viral load or just picking up fragments. KS uses 42 cycle cutoff I believe. Labs aren't required to show the amount of cycles or virus load

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045218
11/10/20 05:52 PM
11/10/20 05:52 PM
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 15,537
Champaign County, Ohio.
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KeithC Offline
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Champaign County, Ohio.
It is beyond obvious, if you take a moment to truly think about it, that most people who are around someone with Covid-19 won't catch it from that exposure. Fear makes people stupid.

Keith

Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045220
11/10/20 05:53 PM
11/10/20 05:53 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
"Grumpy Old Man"
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so the test is faulty and that is why he not positive?


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045221
11/10/20 05:54 PM
11/10/20 05:54 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Online content
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Online Content
"Grumpy Old Man"
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,750
williamsburg ks
but kieth we are being told it is highly contagious


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid stats [Re: charles] #7045224
11/10/20 05:56 PM
11/10/20 05:56 PM
Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 3,972
South Dakota
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Rat Masterson Offline
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Can you catch it on T-MAN.

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