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Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Boco] #7626119
07/14/22 12:03 AM
07/14/22 12:03 AM
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 867
Alaska/Washington
D
Dragger Offline
trapper
Dragger  Offline
trapper
D

Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 867
Alaska/Washington
Originally Posted by Boco
Correct-Trump will blow enough gas out his arse to run the world for millennia,lol


You blow more than Trump and Canada still has always had higher fuel prices..

Empty wind I guess???


Give an illegal alien a fish and he eats for a day. Deport him and you never have to feed him ever again!
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626121
07/14/22 12:08 AM
07/14/22 12:08 AM
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 45,474
james bay frontierOnt.
B
Boco Offline
trapper
Boco  Offline
trapper
B

Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 45,474
james bay frontierOnt.
No just higher taxes.


Forget that fear of gravity-get a little savagery in your life.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Steven 49er] #7626349
07/14/22 11:12 AM
07/14/22 11:12 AM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,167
McGrath, AK
W
white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
white17  Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
W

Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,167
McGrath, AK
Originally Posted by Steven 49er
Ken, I'm gotta ask but not sure how to phrase it. If an economy is so dependant on debt, is it possible to not be a service and consumer driven one?

Does that make sense?

I do agree with what you are saying, I don't know if it's possible.

Also cause I'm bored let's do some math. Say a feller is down 650k. The SP 500(the benchmark indices) set an all-time high of approximately 4,800 today it closed at 3801, that is a 21 percent pullback from it's ATH. to lose 650k thay means the person had about 3.1 million, let's say the person lost 30 percent, he still has two million. A guy can retire comfortably with 2to3 million dollars in a 401k



I've never thought much about that but.........even after 1913 we still were in a very productive stage of our development. Still in the industrial revolution to some degree...so we did have an economy that produced consumer goods even with a debt based system.

But I can sort of see where you're coming from. Even "goods based" economies need consumers to consume and service industries to provide things like accounting, transport, marketing etc.

Where I think debt has had a big impact is in the arena of taxation. Before capital gains taxes evolved it was much easier to build capital. Essentially, once taxation began...other than tariffs..... a business was in competition with government.. But what isn't always evident is that when government borrows, it makes it harder and more expensive for business to borrow because they are competing for the same funding

The more money that government borrows, the more they have to confiscate from business to service that debt. We know that. But what isn't always evident is that when government borrows, it makes it harder and more expensive for business to borrow because they are competing for the same funding that government wants. The usual result is that the cost of borrowing goes up or becomes unavailable to business. Government has no such restrictions because they have the power to tax.

Not sure I am even addressing what you are asking.

Yeah I think a guy could get by on 2 million depending on his age, where he lives, his health, and his ability to stay invested to generate income. AND.....that the rules aren't changed by government in the middle of the game


Mean As Nails
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626360
07/14/22 11:28 AM
07/14/22 11:28 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 15,688
MN, Land of 10,000 Lakes
T
Trapper7 Offline
trapper
Trapper7  Offline
trapper
T

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 15,688
MN, Land of 10,000 Lakes
Saw on NewsMax just this morning his press secretary saying the economy is the best it's ever been.
Really? With inflation at 9.1%? She added this doesn't even take into account the lower gas prices at the pump.

BTW, for the non-Trumpers: when he left office inflation was at 1.4%


We are told not to judge all Muslims by the actions of a few lunatics, but are told to judge all gunowners by the actions of a few.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Flicker Shad] #7626414
07/14/22 12:35 PM
07/14/22 12:35 PM
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 13,112
Ky
J
jbyrd63 Offline
trapper
jbyrd63  Offline
trapper
J

Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 13,112
Ky
Originally Posted by Flicker Shad
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
Guy I fish with could have retired in Jan . I told him he better cut and run . Get his 401 k ,at least roll it over into something guaranteed. Nope he said he would loose too much money if he put it in roth at set rate. WEEELLL he will have to work until he is 89 IF THEN to recover the 650,000 he has lost since Jan. I warned him !!! All the writing was on the wall.

In my 401 I can move money to a stable cash fund. No roll over, no loss, but no real gains either. He can probably do the same.



Yes and go to work everyday to be reminded what he could of had !!!You missed my point wasn't that he couldn't protect what he still has !! It's that he could have gotten out with 650,000 more

Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626447
07/14/22 01:18 PM
07/14/22 01:18 PM
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 21,026
North East Kansas
Marty Offline
trapper
Marty  Offline
trapper

Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 21,026
North East Kansas
If only we all listened to jbyrd....


E
'Honey Badger Militia'
Sleep, the anti woke adote.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626453
07/14/22 01:24 PM
07/14/22 01:24 PM
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 19,719
pa
H
hippie Offline
trapper
hippie  Offline
trapper
H

Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 19,719
pa
Genius, and we didn't know it.

Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626468
07/14/22 01:43 PM
07/14/22 01:43 PM
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 13,112
Ky
J
jbyrd63 Offline
trapper
jbyrd63  Offline
trapper
J

Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 13,112
Ky
Why thank you . Proof shows up everyday LOL !!!! grin

Last edited by jbyrd63; 07/14/22 01:47 PM.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: jbyrd63] #7626477
07/14/22 01:47 PM
07/14/22 01:47 PM
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 5,878
perry co.Pa
wetdog Offline
trapper
wetdog  Offline
trapper

Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 5,878
perry co.Pa
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
Why thank you . Proof shows up everyday LOL !!!!

Your kind of thinking shows up every morning
I pull the handle and whoosh, it's gone. Lol Lol Lol

Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626661
07/14/22 05:19 PM
07/14/22 05:19 PM
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 3,655
Central Texas
C
Chancey Offline OP
trapper
Chancey  Offline OP
trapper
C

Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 3,655
Central Texas
Well looks like Saudi Arabia is going to join BRICS. Biden better hope he's got his talking points down when he visits there this week.



Last edited by Chancey; 07/14/22 05:24 PM.

Resident Conspiracy Theorist
Accused Moron, Nazi, Low IQ, and Putin Fan Boy
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626671
07/14/22 05:51 PM
07/14/22 05:51 PM
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 45,474
james bay frontierOnt.
B
Boco Offline
trapper
Boco  Offline
trapper
B

Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 45,474
james bay frontierOnt.
The birth of the Petroyuan.


Forget that fear of gravity-get a little savagery in your life.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Boco] #7626682
07/14/22 06:04 PM
07/14/22 06:04 PM
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 3,655
Central Texas
C
Chancey Offline OP
trapper
Chancey  Offline OP
trapper
C

Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 3,655
Central Texas
Originally Posted by Boco
The birth of the Petroyuan.


I'm glad I have a big garden, some cows and chickens, and really good neighbors. Silver is down again today, be good to have some on hand when the lights go out. I can't imagine what will happen if the petrodollar is done away with for the people in this country not self-reliant. This government will start a war before that, but this time it may not do any good IMO.


Resident Conspiracy Theorist
Accused Moron, Nazi, Low IQ, and Putin Fan Boy
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Flicker Shad] #7626769
07/14/22 07:39 PM
07/14/22 07:39 PM
Joined: Feb 2021
Posts: 1,779
Wisconsin
M
Mad Scientist Offline
trapper
Mad Scientist  Offline
trapper
M

Joined: Feb 2021
Posts: 1,779
Wisconsin


We need Trump back.[/quote]


Don’t get me wrong the Biden crew is worthless but Trump and company started all this with the stimulus checks,ppp loans (giveaways)and lucrative unemployment payments. Just sayin.

Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626786
07/14/22 07:56 PM
07/14/22 07:56 PM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,468
mn north of blakely
S
Steven 49er Offline
trapper
Steven 49er  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,468
mn north of blakely
This started before Trump bit he helped it along quite a bit.

If anyone remembers he was PO'd when the FED raised rates and thought they should be cut to negative territory. Said it would be a good thing.


"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Milton Friedman.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7626918
07/14/22 10:40 PM
07/14/22 10:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,331
East-Central Wisconsin
B
bblwi Offline
trapper
bblwi  Offline
trapper
B

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,331
East-Central Wisconsin
There are two ways products or production become unprofitable. In this case we can use oil. The price can be so low that there is little profit or money for expansion etc. Or it can be so high that user need to find alternatives.

The governments of the world find all sorts of ways politically and economically to facilitate research and or subsidies to reflect their better interests. It will be the private sector that will drive the major changes in almost any and all product development. We on here many times argue about 40 million here or a couple billion there etc. There several hundred trillion dollars in the world and many of those dollars are in search of the next highly profitable venture and if they can get even half the years that many of our major ventures have now they will make even bigger fortunes. The major questions is will our world cultures benefit from these potential major changes in production? We need to find very profitable production systems that still need to hire lots of workers. In the developed countries we have used high investments in captial (money and machines) to minimize labor. That at this time is not a huge issue for most of the developed countries but it sure can be for the 5 billion or so that live in lower economically developed nations where the influx of capital can replace many, many more workers.

Bryce

Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Rat Masterson] #7626932
07/14/22 11:12 PM
07/14/22 11:12 PM
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 2,939
Wy
G
Giant Sage Offline
trapper
Giant Sage  Offline
trapper
G

Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 2,939
Wy
I'd take the 70s fur prices today.

Re: Economic Collapse [Re: white17] #7626937
07/14/22 11:32 PM
07/14/22 11:32 PM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,468
mn north of blakely
S
Steven 49er Offline
trapper
Steven 49er  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,468
mn north of blakely
Originally Posted by white17


I've never thought much about that but.........even after 1913 we still were in a very productive stage of our development. Still in the industrial revolution to some degree...so we did have an economy that produced consumer goods even with a debt based system.


We have only been on a true debt-based system since 1971. If we were still on gold standard, at least for foreign trade things would look much different.

Originally Posted by white17




Not sure I am even addressing what you are asking.

Yeah I think a guy could get by on 2 million depending on his age, where he lives, his health, and his ability to stay invested to generate income. AND.....that the rules aren't changed by government in the middle of the game


I am not even sure what I am asking lol, just trying to stir conversation. My gut tells me that the true measure of the wealth of a nation is how it uses its natural resources and labor to create real tangible lasting things. I think a fiat system requires and promotes high consumerism, large social spending and an inordinate amount of military spending. It blows my mind that the supposed party of peace IE the Democrats approved a budget with record military spending. Oh, wait, no it doesn't because they have become a party of war.

My comment of retiring on a couple of million was meant for someone else. All things being equal a couple million at 65 in a retirement account would be adequate if invested in a "safe" account. 4 percent draw coupled with social security, personal savings and a spouse would be more than adequate. Of course, that means all things being equal.


"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Milton Friedman.
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Steven 49er] #7626959
07/15/22 12:55 AM
07/15/22 12:55 AM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 16,572
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Posts: 16,572
Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by Steven 49er
Originally Posted by white17


I've never thought much about that but.........even after 1913 we still were in a very productive stage of our development. Still in the industrial revolution to some degree...so we did have an economy that produced consumer goods even with a debt based system.


We have only been on a true debt-based system since 1971. If we were still on gold standard, at least for foreign trade things would look much different.

Originally Posted by white17




Not sure I am even addressing what you are asking.

Yeah I think a guy could get by on 2 million depending on his age, where he lives, his health, and his ability to stay invested to generate income. AND.....that the rules aren't changed by government in the middle of the game


I am not even sure what I am asking lol, just trying to stir conversation. My gut tells me that the true measure of the wealth of a nation is how it uses its natural resources and labor to create real tangible lasting things. I think a fiat system requires and promotes high consumerism, large social spending and an inordinate amount of military spending. It blows my mind that the supposed party of peace IE the Democrats approved a budget with record military spending. Oh, wait, no it doesn't because they have become a party of war.

My comment of retiring on a couple of million was meant for someone else. All things being equal a couple million at 65 in a retirement account would be adequate if invested in a "safe" account. 4 percent draw coupled with social security, personal savings and a spouse would be more than adequate. Of course, that means all things being equal.


I think we need a 20 page thread of you and white just talking amongst yourselves about this stuff, lol.


~~Proud Ultra MAGA~~
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Steven 49er] #7627177
07/15/22 11:21 AM
07/15/22 11:21 AM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,167
McGrath, AK
W
white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
white17  Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
W

Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,167
McGrath, AK
Originally Posted by Steven 49er






I am not even sure what I am asking lol, just trying to stir conversation. My gut tells me that the true measure of the wealth of a nation is how it uses its natural resources and labor to create real tangible lasting things. I think a fiat system requires and promotes high consumerism, large social spending and an inordinate amount of military spending. It blows my mind that the supposed party of peace IE the Democrats approved a budget with record military spending. Oh, wait, no it doesn't because they have become a party of war.



Yes. I think Bryce addressed that pretty well above here.

There is really no NEW wealth added to the economy unless we are actually producing something that didn't exist before. Activities like logging, mining, building planes and machine tools etc. actually add wealth. Service types of activities only move dollars from one pocket to another. Nothing is created.

Of course the bigger problem IMO is that for every economic transaction that takes place, government, at some level, takes a bite while producing absolutely nothing. An absolute Ponzi scheme.


Mean As Nails
Re: Economic Collapse [Re: Chancey] #7627203
07/15/22 11:36 AM
07/15/22 11:36 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 21,701
Sandhills Nebraska
G
Gary Benson Offline
trapper
Gary Benson  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 21,701
Sandhills Nebraska
Gubmint needs more every year so they just add another tax. Isn't that easy for the citizen.


Life ain't supposed to be easy.
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