Posted By: NonPCfed
a battlion a day, a brigade a week... - 06/19/22 06:50 PM
Ukrainian president Zelinksy stated, 10 days or so ago, that the UAF was taking 500 or more casualties a day in the Ukraine war. His Minister of Defense about a week ago said their loss rate maybe closer to a 1,000 a day. If the lower number is taken as more concrete, that's about the equivalent of a battalion taken out of action a day, a brigade a week. The UAF cannot sustain those losses and hold together, especially in the eastern front. There are already "interesting" videos out there of forced off-the-street "recruitment" of Ukie men by the government. The goofs in charge, both there and the West, can say we'll just give them more heavy arms, especially artillery and rockets, and the UAF will continue to bleed the Rus white. Its a talking point built on a fantasy. The current Ukrainian government will lose at least 4 of their "oblasts" (provinces) in the east and south, although some of Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts they haven't controlled since late 2014. I'm not even counting Crimea that was joined in Ukraine SSR in 1954. The best that the "continue the war" crowd can do is a "perpetual" war where the front going somewhere in a line south and east of Kiev and east of the Dnieper. The U.S. and NATO will pump arms and training into western Ukraine and train a new UAF to keep the fight going. Or NATO will decide to fully engage their forces instead of the current sort of the shadow play without any of their boots on the ground and war planes in the skies of Ukie land. Former NATO commander Wesley Clark thinks the alliance should go all in now. Of course, none of his or probably his family's blood will get spilled.
Anyway, retired Col. Douglas Macgregor had a interesting recent write up on the situation:
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/when-the-lies-come-home/
I'll leave you with another Ukraine map. It is by "native" language. The 4 most southeast oblasts were added to Ukraine by Lenin in 1922. Its an ethnically mixed region but of course that is hardly ever mentioned in American "official" (government/media/corporate/NGO) discourse.
Anyway, retired Col. Douglas Macgregor had a interesting recent write up on the situation:
https:/
I'll leave you with another Ukraine map. It is by "native" language. The 4 most southeast oblasts were added to Ukraine by Lenin in 1922. Its an ethnically mixed region but of course that is hardly ever mentioned in American "official" (government/media/corporate/NGO) discourse.