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Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: SundanceMtnMan] #7282482
06/09/21 01:56 PM
06/09/21 01:56 PM
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 3,530
Southern Illinois
F
Foxpaw Offline
trapper
Foxpaw  Offline
trapper
F

Joined: May 2016
Posts: 3,530
Southern Illinois
It takes awhile for it to get worked thru the market before the price to come down at the lumber yard.

It is possible in thin markets, when it get at or close to first notice day it may not even trade but drop limit down or rise limit up, even in markets that is not too thin. A few days of limit against a trader and he remembers it well.
I think the non-reportable amount for lumber is 25 contracts or less, not sure thou.
Here is some links that some minght find interest in.

On the second link for commitment of traders the link didn't follow thru and where it says corn you need to click and click on softs to get lumber. Sorry bout that.

https://hedgefundlawblog.com/cftc-regulation-15-03-reporting-levels.html

https://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/quikstrike/commitment-of-traders-agricultural.html

https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LSN21/interactive-chart

Last edited by Foxpaw; 06/09/21 02:04 PM.
Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: white17] #7282500
06/09/21 02:56 PM
06/09/21 02:56 PM
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 3,112
7mtns of CENTRAL PA
GROUSEWIT Offline
trapper
GROUSEWIT  Offline
trapper

Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 3,112
7mtns of CENTRAL PA
Originally Posted by white17
Lumber futures are up a bit today but the curve going out to January 2022 is dropping.
July futures are currently $1190 but January futures are 848. Still quite high


White what were they b4??


NRALIFER,PRPA LIFER,HUNTER,FURTAKER
Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: SundanceMtnMan] #7282502
06/09/21 03:14 PM
06/09/21 03:14 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,176
McGrath, AK
W
white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
white17  Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
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Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,176
McGrath, AK
The prices we were used to seeing for a long time were in the $300 range


Mean As Nails
Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: white17] #7282511
06/09/21 03:52 PM
06/09/21 03:52 PM
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 3,112
7mtns of CENTRAL PA
GROUSEWIT Offline
trapper
GROUSEWIT  Offline
trapper

Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 3,112
7mtns of CENTRAL PA
Originally Posted by white17
The prices we were used to seeing for a long time were in the $300 range


Thank u sir


NRALIFER,PRPA LIFER,HUNTER,FURTAKER
Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: white17] #7282531
06/09/21 04:40 PM
06/09/21 04:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 20,087
SEPA
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Lugnut Offline
trapper
Lugnut  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 20,087
SEPA
Originally Posted by white17
Originally Posted by Marty
We are getting screwed on this deal......


Is someone forcing you to buy lumber ?


Well I'm a residential construction and remodeling contractor so... laugh


Eh...wot?

Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: SundanceMtnMan] #7282543
06/09/21 04:59 PM
06/09/21 04:59 PM
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 3,530
Southern Illinois
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Foxpaw Offline
trapper
Foxpaw  Offline
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Joined: May 2016
Posts: 3,530
Southern Illinois
Prices going up shouldn't affect a contractor, if the price is going up charge the customer more. If you locked in a bid then you should have hedged the other leg and you would still have your profit locked in.

Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: Foxpaw] #7282548
06/09/21 05:25 PM
06/09/21 05:25 PM
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 10,679
Iowa
T
trapdog1 Offline
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trapdog1  Offline
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T

Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 10,679
Iowa
Originally Posted by Foxpaw
Prices going up shouldn't affect a contractor, if the price is going up charge the customer more. If you locked in a bid then you should have hedged the other leg and you would still have your profit locked in.


Not always that simple. Raising your prices substantially can cause customers to put projects on hold or go elsewhere.

Re: Lumber prices dropping [Re: SundanceMtnMan] #7282559
06/09/21 05:49 PM
06/09/21 05:49 PM
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 3,933
Ohio
S
stinkypete Offline
trapper
stinkypete  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 3,933
Ohio
And you can pass it on to the consumer. People are building and buying. Some choose to continue. Some hold back. It is all up to you. My brother held off on building his home. Our company continues to build. And the circle continues

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