Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: handitrapper]
#8213620
09/11/24 09:13 AM
09/11/24 09:13 AM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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Good comments tlguy. This is in the south west part of the county so does that mean likely has a higher deer density than 30?
Let's dig a little deeper into it. The picture I posted showed 10 wolves. 10 wolves is 1% of the entire population in the state according to the DNR. Hard to believe, but let's dig into it. Now that area falls into zone 4. Here is the population estimate that comes from the DNR for that zone - 61. The 95% confidence interval shows a lower limit of 43 and a higher limit of 89. I think we can agree that 43 is laughable.
10 out of 61 is over 16%. We capture in one photo over 16% of the entire zone's population in one picture. Zone 4 has over 2,200 sq miles of deer habitat. If the average pack was 50 sq miles, that means I can fit in 44 packs? Even if I use the higher limit, that is over 10% of the population in one picture. Does that really add up?
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: WIMarshRAT]
#8213694
09/11/24 12:02 PM
09/11/24 12:02 PM
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Joined: Jan 2016
Posts: 1,261 East Central Wi.
coyote addict
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Not sure what all that otter talk has to do w/ wolves, but carry on..
Let’s pivot back to wolves a little. Below is a picture of 10 wolves in Wisconsin in one food plot. Picture comes the Lincoln/Langlade county line next to Ackley State Wildlife Area. Should this even be possible? The state’s population model says we only have about a thousand wolves here. Photo courtesy of the FB page Wisconsin Citizen Wolf Count. I'll save the DNR alot of money and count the wolves in the picture for them.......2. There are 2 wolves in the picture.
Member -W.T.A. N.T.A. - N.R. A. A Shotgun. A Rifle and a 4 Wheel Drive.. A Country Boy. Will Survive
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: tlguy]
#8213698
09/11/24 12:08 PM
09/11/24 12:08 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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Are we assuming those are all adults? 5 adults and 5 YOY pups? There is considerable pup mortality and if I remember right the counts are done in winter when 2, 3, maybe 4 of those pups aren't walking the landscape anymore. Maybe some of the wolf guys will chime in. I see 6 adults, 4 pups in the photo with ten, but I could see how that 5th one could be questioned. In the picture with 8, I see 4 and 4. You bring up some interesting questions. Sure they have a few months before survey is collected, but could we also ask, how many wolves are not in the picture because they are in the brush? Either way, picture shows us going from 8 to 10 and that is a 25% increase in one year. My first reaction is survivorship doesn't seem to be an issue. We naturally want to tie wolves leaving as mortality, but do wolves disperse out on their own at some point too? The DNR's model does a horrible job of capturing those lone wolves. What I do find interesting about the pictures is they seem to line up with some data captured on SnapShot cameras. The most likely time to capture a photo of a wolf is around 7AM. Look at the time stamp on the pictures and they are not snapshot cameras. https://widnr-snapshotwisconsin.shinyapps.io/DataDashboard/
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: handitrapper]
#8213770
09/11/24 03:19 PM
09/11/24 03:19 PM
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 2,099 east central WI
Dirty D
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a couple of points on the recent posts.
deer density, 30 deer/sq mile is very high, all the research I've seen puts an ideal deer density at 6-10/sq mile. Ideal means the habitat can carry that many without damage from the deer herd.
Wolf populations are conditional on food. If there is low food supplies there is more mortality. The wolves are less healthy and many young of the year don't survive. If there are no deer the wolf population will crash. When the wolf population crashes the deer population will rebound. Deer reproduce much faster than wolves do. Only one female wolf will have young in a pack per year. The litter size depends upon the health of the female, again less food less health, smaller litters. After a while higher deer population will allow for the wolves to increase in numbers. It cycles back and forth slowly. Habitat is key for a healthy deer population. Poor habitat, forests maturing, will cause a deer population to decline. Wolf population does not rely on habitat, it relies on prey populations.
Population surveys may not exact, but if they are conducted in the same manner year after year the trends they show are very reliable.
I have seen pictures from a guy in the Eagle River area that regularly has dozens of deer in his yard, yet the area he hunts, has very few deer. The deer have figured out they are safer in areas with high human populations (around towns and lake cottages) than out in the big woods with all the wolves. According to him it seems as if the wolves are starting to get more bold and also come around these areas looking for food. Unfortunately they are opportunists and will take pets if the opportunity occurs.
Wolves are not going away, they are here to stay. Until the Feds get their act together there is little the DNR can do.
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: coyote addict]
#8213939
09/11/24 08:14 PM
09/11/24 08:14 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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I'll save the DNR alot of money and count the wolves in the picture for them.......2. There are 2 wolves in the picture.
I keep hearing the DNR is broke and needs us to increase our license fees to cover the shortfall. Wonder how much they spend driving around doing surveys looking for tracks? You counted two and didn’t cost the state a dime. That just so happens to be the same number they counted in 2020. That is the last year they published the report showing their work. Ironically, it also showed there was a second pack at Ackley. Hmmmm? https://widnr.widen.net/s/mr7zlkv4bg
Last edited by WIMarshRAT; 09/11/24 08:17 PM.
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: handitrapper]
#8215209
09/13/24 04:41 PM
09/13/24 04:41 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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It’s also election season. I see one of US Senate Candidates from WI put out a YouTube video on where he stands on wolves and difference he sees between his opponents views. Anybody donate a few bucks or help register a voter or two? I was amazed how many hunters don’t vote. Encourage those to vote. Help them sign up for a ballot and beat the rush on Election Day. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=AZMO6Dmg7aY
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: handitrapper]
#8215787
09/14/24 06:25 PM
09/14/24 06:25 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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Pushing a bill that doesn’t remove judicial review is pointless as it will just end back in court. Getting them delisted is the easy part and that doesn’t take an act of congress. Been done a handful of times already and we end up right back in the courts. The very fact anyone would buy her garbage on wolves makes me sick. There might be reasons to support her, but wolves is not one IMO. She used to be on the right side in the past, but has lost her way recently.
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: Dirty D]
#8217520
09/17/24 07:18 AM
09/17/24 07:18 AM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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Population surveys may not exact, but if they are conducted in the same manner year after year the trends they show are very reliable.
Should we explore this a little? Have our surveys been conducted in the same manner year after year?
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: Guss]
#8217622
09/17/24 10:20 AM
09/17/24 10:20 AM
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Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 47,407 james bay frontierOnt.
Boco
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Wolves fur would make a good blanket. Good money in prime wolf pelts.
Forget that fear of gravity-get a little savagery in your life.
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: handitrapper]
#8218701
09/18/24 08:06 PM
09/18/24 08:06 PM
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Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,934 WI
WIMarshRAT
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If they want to buy your vote, they should support the trust the science bill and get it passed. I would encourage you to email your senators and tell them it is time to delist wolves and eliminate judicial review. I just sent an email to my senator in Wisconsin. If you would like to send her a note, here’s the link. https://www.baldwin.senate.gov/contact/contact-tammyI was originally excited to hear you introduced a bill to delist wolves but was quickly disappointed that your bill didn’t remove judicial review. Delisting wolves is the easy part as both Republican and Democrat administrations have gone through the motions. Unfortunately, they never stay delisted as an activist judge ignores science and the wishes of the residents of Wisconsin to put them back on the list. While this hurts Wisconsin residents, the wolves pay an even greater price. In addition, the ESA takes a beating in the eyes of sportsmen and women. Instead of continuing in this wrong path, please join the effort to delist wolves and remove judicial review so WI can get back to rebuilding the image of wolves in the state and ensuring the money for endangered species is spent in a productive manner and on species that would benefit. I appreciate your consideration.
Last edited by WIMarshRAT; 09/18/24 08:42 PM.
Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
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Re: Wisconsin Wolves
[Re: Dirty D]
#8219640
09/20/24 07:38 AM
09/20/24 07:38 AM
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,560 MN
walleye101
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Wolves are not going away, they are here to stay. Until the Feds get their act together there is little the DNR can do.
No one is seriously asking for Wolves to go away, just to be managed like any other big game animal with sound biological data. State DNRs like you to believe there is nothing they can do but they could be making a much stronger case for delisting if they had the will to do so. They seem quite comfortable with the "nothing we can do" mantra.
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