Russo-Ukrainian War, fall, 2024
I pay a little coin (I think its $5 or $6 a month) to subscribe to "Big Serge"'s Substack blog. Full disclosure, I think this guy lives in California and is either a first generation born American of Russian Orthodox Christian ethnicity or is a naturalized American citizen probably born in Russia. For many of you, that probably already ends the conversation but Big Serge takes military history and war as von Clauwitz's "politics by other means" theory seriously. If that makes your eyes glaze over, then reading his essay probably won't interest you. Or if you need to have just a 30 to 90 second attention span and then move on, probably skip trying to read this as well. I'm not tying to be an arshole, just stating reality. For those of you that know me well enough know that I enjoy actual serious debate, most important discussions can't be done in 90 seconds. If you believe otherwise, we'll see you next time and enjoy your autumn season.
Serge lays out, in various scales, from strategic to more tactical, where he thinks the Russo-Ukrainian War is at this point. And when he gets down into the tactical day-to-day discussion of various place names, almost everybody's eyes glaze over, including mine, but the bottom line is that the "Donbas" (southeastern 1991 borders of Ukraine) was a very industrialized area (based on local natural resources for making steel and other metals) embedded in a greater landscape of better agricultural land.And I don't know if Serge is a paid operative of the Russian government but he certainly has positive feelings for the 1,000 year old Russian culture. Does that make him suspect of any consideration of actual real and honest analysis? I guess that's up to the reader's judgement. But is Serge's Russo-philic attitude more suspect than the sycophantic nature of the American military food chain (you can make O-6 on your own, star 1 & 2 is political, star 3 & 4 are fully political) and the DC area bought and paid for think tanks, who really knows? All I know is a lot of men, mostly Ukrainian, are dead based on some assumptions that were never really debated all that much, especially within the Uniparty DC bubble present at the end of 2021. And I fear not much has been learned in the past almost three years of bloodshed in Ukraine.
Anyway, here is Big Serge's recent piece:
https://open.substack.com/pub/bigse...p;utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email It takes some time to read. And it won't show up in the corporate world media because reading more than 15 minutes is just too much effort.
