I have been trapping these rascals for a very long time and I am continuing to learn more about them. I am not a college educated biologist but have trained a few of them about trapping them. When I was a State Conservation Officer, in my training class of 25, only 2 others had ever trapped. Most of these people had a college education pertaining to wildlife and biology.
One thing that I did learn from the books was that muskrats can have 3 litters per year, and the first litter can have a littler that same year. When I lived in the Big Marsh area of Lake Erie, I saw firsthand the 3 litters per years. I also observed that low water, high water, or lack of food in any particular area can/will interrupt this breeding cycle. They may no longer breed more than once a year and cycle may move from April and May to June or even July.
Another thing that low water causes is when the rats move because of low water, they accumulate in smaller areas, that can realistically hold 20 rats and 40 end up there. This is when mother nature steps in and disease pops up from nowhere and wipes out 99% of the population. When the rats accumulate in a particular area, so do the predators. Raptors, owls, eagles from the air, mink, otters, and raccoon from the ground. Another predator that kills young muskrats are geese. I have seen on several occasions, geese chasing after very small swimming muskrats, catching them and killing them. On one occasion, the goose then ate the young rat.
I am not saying, that the above is what has or is happening, only that these are my personal observations over the many years I have trapped and observed muskrats and their habit and the reactions to their environment, and what different conditions can and do cause.
Garry-