Good discussions and points. I too have thought of chemicals. Predators have been around forever and in high numbers. How was our population able to climb through years of high predators? I have heard before this that numbers in MN and WI are increasing. I assume they have high predator numbers also as well as avian predators?
With the right habitat, predation falls low on the list. Without proper habitat, predation is at the top. I know folks that burn their entire property and watch the Turkey population plummet. I will tell you this, just because someone works for the forestry department doesn’t mean they understand habitat. I trap for a guy that thought burning everything in March and April was good because his forester said so. I finally got someone to “talk” to him and he’s in a three year rotation leaving plenty of cover now and his numbers are improving.
Been on one place for 6-7 years now and the turkey/quail population remains as stable every year. During good hatch years it rises a little and during bad hatch years it falls a little. Nothing drastic, but it does fluctuate. They keep numbers on EVERYTHING, lol. The one constant is the habitat, wet or dry. The other constant is trapping. Year round trapping of coons/possums.
I have read studies of seed being used to plant causing some type of disease in turkeys. What brought the article up was the NWTF gets a lot of leftover seed and passes it on to their members. This seed was tested and the chemicals used to coat the seed was bad news for turkeys.
I don’t think it’s any “one thing” that’s causing a decline. But I also don’t think lowering the limit and reducing the season will help much. One thing about it, when they take away, they never give back.