White, Angela and others who comment on financial topics:

How will the markets close the quarter?

Dow and NASDAQ are down over 10 percent from recent highs. S&P is getting close. It's been an ugly last month or so.

What happens this week?

Everyone please follow the rules.

Let me dust-off my crystal ball.
I'm not too optimistic.

Most of the downward stock movement has been triggered by the initiation of the foreign war and involvement and issues regarding ICE. To me what we have not seen is the market reacting much to the downward movement in new job creation and layoffs and increasing inflation. If the war continues for another 2-6 weeks we may see the US economy and jobs impacting the market as well.
If the war would end soon there would be a quick market gain which would be welcome by all and especially the WH and GOP.
Bryce

This is a tough one for me BC, simply because I have not been following the markets long enough to be able to guess how they will react to each new step in the war.

As of now, crude is still over $100 a barrel, there is talk of deploying ten thousand more troops...

My gut says we will not see any sort of rally over the next two days. I also don't feel we'll see a drastic drop over that time. So I guess my hazy crystal ball expects modest declines over the next 2 days.

Now, of course, if during the next 2 days Iran and the US reach some sort of deal, then that all changes. The market would rally then.

The quarter?

Markets are long term thinking.

I have no guess as to how things will shake out over the next two trading days but I am not optimistic. Also remember that the market is closed next Friday so the previous days may be a little more volatile than normal.

Equity markets are terrible at predicting or reacting to geopolitical events. I would pay close attention to the bond market instead. I agree with Bryce that the market has not reacted badly enough to the events in Iran.
Yes I think any "good" news might set off a brief rally but I suspect it will be short, sharp, and volatile. What we have been seeing in equities has been a series of lower highs and lower lows. Not a recipe for a sustained rally.

Looking at all the negatives..high valuations, the war, midterms, interest rates, unemployment, inflation expectations, budget deficits, national debt, and last week's failed treasury auction..................it is not encouraging IMO.

I would be watching the 10 year treasury note. If yields get above 4.5% or if the 30 year gets over 5%..........look out below.
I would not be surprised to see SPX fall as low as 6150. If that happens I would be a buyer...........but there would be a lot of pain at that level.

If things resolve in the middle east, oil will drop some but I think it will take many months for the increases we have already seen to move through the world economy.
This past Friday I bought 501 gallons of gasoline at $11.08 per gallon because I believe it will be more expensive than that here by June when the fuel barge arrives.

We have recently been hearing some former Federal reserve "doves" begin mentioning raising rates rather than cutting them. While I think that would be prudent, the market overall will not like that prospect.

And there is that wild card about AI destroying jobs or eliminating software. I don't have an opinion on those issues but eventually that question needs to be answered in order for a very large market sector to stabilize. The sooner that happens the better.

Caution is the order of the day IMO. Have a buy list handy and keep some dry powder.

I guess we should all just ignore monthly and quarterly data--GDP, inflation, unemployment, etc.

And, stop reviewing quarterly filings by public companies, 10Qs.

And, stop managing our investments daily, monthly, quarterly and annually--and beyond.

I prefer paying attention.

Excellent as always and appreciated, sir.

11.08? I don't feel as bad buying fuel.

Not when you have options expiring this Thursday they're not.

I don't expect anything drastic either way. I expect lackluster performance over the next couple months barring any real changes in the situation with Iran. A good change there the markets could recover quickly, a bad change and it could fall drastically. But I don't expect any sudden changes on that front for some time. And certain sectors will perform very well within this downturn. My Robinhood "play" account is only down 1.53% over the past month and is up on every other metric. I haven't checked my retirement accounts, but they reflect the market as a whole much more so I assume they have lost a significant amount. I'm not worried it will come back.

I am 25% back in......waiting before I spend more.....jk

Ken, how long will 500 gallons of gas last you?

Probably a year if I'm careful

If you go by the charts, I expect the S&P to have a down month in April, and then we rally into May. I’m watching Bitcoin because that fell before the markets. Im still in data center stocks (even though locals are against them) and bitcoin

There is high potential for it to go bad,,, very bad

The time frame remains to be seen

But when it does,,,,,



Plan accordingly!!!!!

Spjones the free money is the worst thing that could happen, I suspect you and most others here would agree, and Angela just keep rolling the options eventually you might come out ahead.

Tommorow .i will probably buy some milk , I thinki am good with sausage, i will fry a couple eggs,..i will grab thechainsaw and finish cutting rounds and haul out.,..Ill feel good about that.

Where's Uncle JBryd ....??? When you need him