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2.5-3% interest by fall? #8093193
03/05/24 04:23 PM
03/05/24 04:23 PM
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Posts: 4,586
MN
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Donnersurvivor Offline OP
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Donnersurvivor  Offline OP
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I had a buddy and an employee both tell me that different banks told them to anticipate 2.5 to 3% interest on housing/building loans by October.

What do the T-man financial experts think? We going that low again that soon?

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093198
03/05/24 04:30 PM
03/05/24 04:30 PM
Joined: Oct 2022
Posts: 144
Iowa
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Ltrman Offline
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Iowa
I'm no financial expert but that's not going to happen. Do you think the FED is going to cut rates that much this year to affect mortgage rates that quickly? I have my doubts

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Ltrman] #8093200
03/05/24 04:34 PM
03/05/24 04:34 PM
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Posts: 4,586
MN
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Donnersurvivor Offline OP
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MN
Originally Posted by Ltrman
I'm no financial expert but that's not going to happen. Do you think the FED is going to cut rates that much this year to affect mortgage rates that quickly? I have my doubts


I would like to see rates raised, I would like more land and don't want it to increase in price.

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093201
03/05/24 04:34 PM
03/05/24 04:34 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,178
McGrath, AK
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white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
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Not a chance IMO


Mean As Nails
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093202
03/05/24 04:34 PM
03/05/24 04:34 PM
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 204
SE Montana
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BigSky Offline
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SE Montana
Here's a hint as to why that may very well happen: Nov 5, 2024. Yes, doing so will set inflation into orbit but the Dems will do anything, including this, to retain power.

Last edited by BigSky; 03/05/24 04:36 PM.
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093208
03/05/24 04:39 PM
03/05/24 04:39 PM
Joined: Feb 2023
Posts: 52
Maine
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NaturesTonic Offline
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Posts: 52
Maine
Will it hit 10% or 3% first

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093209
03/05/24 04:42 PM
03/05/24 04:42 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,028
alberta
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spjones Offline
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alberta
Not an expert,,,,, just a keen observer

Doesn’t feel like things are getting cheaper,,,,,around here anyway


My vote is no

Last edited by spjones; 03/05/24 04:42 PM.
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: white17] #8093210
03/05/24 04:42 PM
03/05/24 04:42 PM
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MN
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Donnersurvivor Offline OP
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Originally Posted by white17
Not a chance IMO

That was my thoughts. Assuming it was unscrupulous bankers using it as a sales technique. Employee made himself house poor, good for me though.

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: spjones] #8093212
03/05/24 04:43 PM
03/05/24 04:43 PM
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 4,586
MN
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Donnersurvivor Offline OP
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Originally Posted by spjones
Not an expert,,,,, just a keen observer

Doesn’t feel like things are getting cheaper,,,,,around here anyway


My vote is no


Gotta find it before you can buy it. Just nothing for sale here outside of housing lots

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093216
03/05/24 04:49 PM
03/05/24 04:49 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,028
alberta
S
spjones Offline
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alberta
You should see it up here


We’re in the biggest housing bubble ever/all time/worldwide!!!

It’s stupid!!

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093217
03/05/24 04:51 PM
03/05/24 04:51 PM
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 704
E. Oregon
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super cub Offline
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E. Oregon
You can bet interest rates will come down before the election so sniffy can say look what i did. Down to 2.5 to 3 percent i don't think it will go that low at all

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093218
03/05/24 04:53 PM
03/05/24 04:53 PM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,510
MN
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Steven 49er Offline
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Steven 49er  Offline
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MN
No


"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Milton Friedman.
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093219
03/05/24 04:54 PM
03/05/24 04:54 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,178
McGrath, AK
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white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
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McGrath, AK
Originally Posted by Donnersurvivor
Originally Posted by white17
Not a chance IMO

That was my thoughts. Assuming it was unscrupulous bankers using it as a sales technique. Employee made himself house poor, good for me though.



I think it was after the December Fed meeting that Powell said their outlook was to see short rates at 4.6 by the end of 2024. I don't think there has been a lot of progress towards their 2% goal since that time. It would not surprise me to see an unexpected increase one more time............but I really don't expect that.

At this point the markets are expecting a 25bp cut at the June meeting but the probability of that is only about 50% right now. I WOULD expect that to happen by September, but that's just me.

If we see 2.5-3 % this fall it will be because we are in a recession and the Fed was forced to cut.

My 2 cents


Mean As Nails
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093221
03/05/24 04:55 PM
03/05/24 04:55 PM
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Posts: 9,244
Alaska and Washington State
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waggler Offline
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Alaska and Washington State
If they drop the rates too low, no one will loan the government the money they need in order to pay it's bills and interest due on it's debt.


"My life is better than your vacation"
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093222
03/05/24 04:57 PM
03/05/24 04:57 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,178
McGrath, AK
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white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
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That's true too.


Mean As Nails
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: BigSky] #8093223
03/05/24 04:57 PM
03/05/24 04:57 PM
Joined: Jan 2007
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Georgia
warrior Offline
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Georgia
Originally Posted by BigSky
Here's a hint as to why that may very well happen: Nov 5, 2024. Yes, doing so will set inflation into orbit but the Dems will do anything, including this, to retain power.


Would not surprise me in the least. These fools will burn it all to the ground to stay in power.


[Linked Image]
Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093226
03/05/24 05:05 PM
03/05/24 05:05 PM
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 1,424
USA-WI
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Kre Offline
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USA-WI
Things will have to go very poorly for us to get to 2-3% interest rates. I don't think that's possible.

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: Donnersurvivor] #8093239
03/05/24 05:16 PM
03/05/24 05:16 PM
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 6,497
central Haudenosaunee, the De...
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white marlin Offline
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not that low.

gasoline WILL see a significant drop a month or so before the election.

Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: BigSky] #8093241
03/05/24 05:17 PM
03/05/24 05:17 PM
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 17,740
Central Oregon
AntiGov Offline
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Originally Posted by BigSky
Here's a hint as to why that may very well happen: Nov 5, 2024. Yes, doing so will set inflation into orbit but the Dems will do anything, including this, to retain power.

This


Report a post club - Non member


Re: 2.5-3% interest by fall? [Re: AntiGov] #8093246
03/05/24 05:21 PM
03/05/24 05:21 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 35,178
McGrath, AK
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white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
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McGrath, AK
Originally Posted by AntiGov
Originally Posted by BigSky
Here's a hint as to why that may very well happen: Nov 5, 2024. Yes, doing so will set inflation into orbit but the Dems will do anything, including this, to retain power.

This


I don't see how they could pull that off


Mean As Nails
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