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Re: Market Predictions [Re: Blaine County] #8593429
Yesterday at 03:25 PM
Yesterday at 03:25 PM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Don't worry the numbers will quietly revised down later Seems to be a pattern

Last edited by Providence Farm; Yesterday at 03:26 PM.
Re: Market Predictions [Re: yotetrapper30] #8593431
Yesterday at 03:28 PM
Yesterday at 03:28 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
McGrath, AK
W
white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
white17  Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
W

Joined: Mar 2007
McGrath, AK
Originally Posted by yotetrapper30
Originally Posted by Blaine County
Agree on jobs. The unemployment numbers do not reflect the real world.



Does this make you feel better? smile

https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/ma...S7&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink



From the article:

"The job gains were driven by a big rebound for the healthcare and social-assistance sector........"

That's depressing !

"One of the few weak spots was the public sector. Federal-government payrolls lost 18,000 jobs,..."


Why is that a "weak' spot ? Seems like a good thing to me smile


Mean As Nails
Re: Market Predictions [Re: Blaine County] #8593659
13 hours ago
13 hours ago
Joined: Dec 2006
East-Central Wisconsin
B
bblwi Offline
trapper
bblwi  Offline
trapper
B

Joined: Dec 2006
East-Central Wisconsin
February's negative numbers have been revised even lower. Interest rates are climbing again, adding additional costs to all the other cost increases. One of the reasons the UE went down .1% is over 400K left the work force over the last month.

Bryce

Re: Market Predictions [Re: bblwi] #8593664
13 hours ago
13 hours ago
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by bblwi
February's negative numbers have been revised even lower. Interest rates are climbing again, adding additional costs to all the other cost increases. One of the reasons the UE went down .1% is over 400K left the work force over the last month.

Bryce


I wonder how many of those 400k were illegals?

Depending on how long this war lasts, I wouldn't count out rate increases yet this year.


Gotta find a way, a better way, I'd better wait

Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not after you
Re: Market Predictions [Re: Blaine County] #8593699
7 hours ago
7 hours ago
Joined: Aug 2013
Louisville, Nebraska
jabNE Offline
trapper
jabNE  Offline
trapper

Joined: Aug 2013
Louisville, Nebraska
I too am in camp that short term rates may rise later this year.
Longer term rates already nudged up and holding higher and even the belly of the forward curve in that 3 to 5 year term has moved up considerably from where it was in February.
CME’s FedWatch tool has all but priced out any rate cuts until almost a year from now and has some probabilities showing for the overnight rate to nudge up too.
There is a lot of pain coming yet in prices from the stall in shipments through that straight. Not just oil but lots of other products. Fertilizer components, plastics, lots of stuff. Other countries have been taking measures to stem the cost impact. It’s coming and we haven’t felt it yet. One big old air bubble in the flow and it hasn’t really been felt yet. The longer this drags out the worse it will get.
Always pay attention to what the bond market tells us. Always.
Just my take from my chair watching global markets.
Jim


Last edited by jabNE; 6 hours ago.

Money cannot buy you happiness, but it can buy you a trapping license and that's pretty close.
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