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Stock market? #8363977
03/13/25 06:44 PM
03/13/25 06:44 PM
Joined: Dec 2013
Illinois
2
2zwudz Offline OP
trapper
2zwudz  Offline OP
trapper
2

Joined: Dec 2013
Illinois
What is your best guess when to invest in the stock market? Its going to go down more but when do you think it will be best to invest?

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364021
03/13/25 07:20 PM
03/13/25 07:20 PM
Joined: Mar 2010
2A Sanctuaries-W. OK & N. NM
Blaine County Offline
trapper
Blaine County  Offline
trapper

Joined: Mar 2010
2A Sanctuaries-W. OK & N. NM
We will likely hit bottom 3.5 years from now. Jump in then.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364155
03/13/25 08:41 PM
03/13/25 08:41 PM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364173
03/13/25 09:02 PM
03/13/25 09:02 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Very SE Nebraska
G
Gary Benson Offline
trapper
Gary Benson  Offline
trapper
G

Joined: Dec 2006
Very SE Nebraska
It's time for a correction. Healing can be painful.


Life ain't supposed to be easy.
Re: Stock market? [Re: Providence Farm] #8364178
03/13/25 09:07 PM
03/13/25 09:07 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Huntingdon Co. Pa.
F
forestman3 Offline
trapper
forestman3  Offline
trapper
F

Joined: Dec 2006
Huntingdon Co. Pa.
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.


I wish you where right. I wish when I was younger I would of put the money I put in the stock market in something else.

Re: Stock market? [Re: forestman3] #8364182
03/13/25 09:12 PM
03/13/25 09:12 PM
Joined: Nov 2012
midland, michigan
M
midlander Offline
trapper
midlander  Offline
trapper
M

Joined: Nov 2012
midland, michigan
Originally Posted by forestman3
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.


I wish you where right. I wish when I was younger I would of put the money I put in the stock market in something else.


What type of 'something else' are you thinking that would have been a wiser choice?

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364185
03/13/25 09:17 PM
03/13/25 09:17 PM
Joined: Mar 2023
WI
WI Outdoors Offline
trapper
WI Outdoors  Offline
trapper

Joined: Mar 2023
WI
Originally Posted by 2zwudz
What is your best guess when to invest in the stock market? Its going to go down more but when do you think it will be best to invest?

You say invest in the stock market, what is it you want to buy?

Re: Stock market? [Re: Blaine County] #8364188
03/13/25 09:24 PM
03/13/25 09:24 PM
Joined: Mar 2023
WI
WI Outdoors Offline
trapper
WI Outdoors  Offline
trapper

Joined: Mar 2023
WI
Originally Posted by Blaine County
We will likely hit bottom 3.5 years from now. Jump in then.

Why only 3.5?

Re: Stock market? [Re: WI Outdoors] #8364193
03/13/25 09:32 PM
03/13/25 09:32 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Very SE Nebraska
G
Gary Benson Offline
trapper
Gary Benson  Offline
trapper
G

Joined: Dec 2006
Very SE Nebraska
Originally Posted by WI Outdoors
Originally Posted by Blaine County
We will likely hit bottom 3.5 years from now. Jump in then.

Why only 3.5?

It's Trumps fault.......


Life ain't supposed to be easy.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364194
03/13/25 09:35 PM
03/13/25 09:35 PM
Joined: Mar 2023
WI
WI Outdoors Offline
trapper
WI Outdoors  Offline
trapper

Joined: Mar 2023
WI
I have a while to go, so I like it. I'm buying while it's on sale.

Re: Stock market? [Re: WI Outdoors] #8364195
03/13/25 09:37 PM
03/13/25 09:37 PM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by WI Outdoors
I have a while to go, so I like it. I'm buying while it's on sale.


bingo.

Re: Stock market? [Re: forestman3] #8364244
03/13/25 10:35 PM
03/13/25 10:35 PM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by forestman3
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.


I wish you where right. I wish when I was younger I would of put the money I put in the stock market in something else.



Well the s and p had averaged over 10% the last 80 years. A simple low cost s and p index fund your money should double on average every 7.2 years. Yes there are good and bad years and better and much worst preforming investment.

Saying stock market is very broad.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364247
03/13/25 10:39 PM
03/13/25 10:39 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
East-Central Wisconsin
B
bblwi Offline
trapper
bblwi  Offline
trapper
B

Joined: Dec 2006
East-Central Wisconsin
I ssure don't like a down market or losing capital but it was good time for us to move funds with losses and minimal gains into a 4.5 % money market fund in preperation for partial payments on our condo we need to build as my wife is not able to navigate steps and stairs well at all. Even after the two knee surguries, the pain is at least gone but the mobilty and strength is not coming back.
Did note that our SIN stocks such as tobacco, etc. are doing very well which is almost always the case when consumer confidence and attitudes along with anxiety increase.

Bryce

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364252
03/13/25 10:52 PM
03/13/25 10:52 PM
Joined: Oct 2024
Kansas
S
someGuyInKansas Offline
trapper
someGuyInKansas  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: Oct 2024
Kansas
Originally Posted by 2zwudz
What is your best guess when to invest in the stock market? Its going to go down more but when do you think it will be best to invest?


20 years ago would be great.
But if your time machine is broken, just divide what you have to invest by 10 and put 1/10 in each week. Or each month. Whichever you prefer. Just pick one and stick with it.
If you did this 20 years ago, you wouldn't care now what week or month you bought in. And 20 years from now, you'll only care that you did it. You won't care what day you did it.


-Joe
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364263
03/13/25 11:09 PM
03/13/25 11:09 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
D
Dirt Offline
trapper
Dirt  Offline
trapper
D

Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
Who predicted interest rates at record lows for 14 years? Nothing like that to make stocks value grow. Competition for investor money will cause the gains in the market to grow slower, if rates stay normal. JMHO. Sub inflation interest rates are not normal.

P.S. The Fed printing 5-7 trillion dollars and buying low interest treasuries and mortgages wasn't normal either. If things return to normal........

Last edited by Dirt; 03/13/25 11:12 PM.

Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: Providence Farm] #8364264
03/13/25 11:15 PM
03/13/25 11:15 PM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.


Millions of options traders would disagree with this post, but you have proclaimed yourself as the be-all, know-all, tman financial guru, so who are any of us to speak against your words of wisdom?


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: yotetrapper30] #8364271
03/13/25 11:33 PM
03/13/25 11:33 PM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by yotetrapper30
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.


Millions of options traders would disagree with this post, but you have proclaimed yourself as the be-all, know-all, tman financial guru, so who are any of us to speak against your words of wisdom?



I claim no such thing. you on the other hand and typical nasty and add nothing of substance to any thread.

Someone asking when to or how to time the market is not spending his days reading company financial info and market trends and is not likey to do so. even Warren Buffet says investing into a low cost index etf is what's best for most investors. I guess Warren Buffet must not know what he is talking about but a waitress or bar tender sure does . Heck you don't even know how to educate yourself and maximize your tax codes. But like with your ignorant coments about my geting a tax refund I'm sure you will crayfish when other chim in supporting what I'm saying. I guess you will never learn and like being corrected.

So if you have nothing but negative and pointless things to say when you quote me you could do like you said don't actually do and not comment on my post.

But obviously that is beyond your ability.


Last edited by Providence Farm; 03/14/25 12:01 AM.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364278
03/13/25 11:54 PM
03/13/25 11:54 PM
Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
J
jbyrd63 Offline
trapper
jbyrd63  Offline
trapper
J

Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
Anyone that denies the current market was manipulated by the Biden administration is blind or just ignorant. Biden’s second year was a disaster for the market. False reporting and influx of printed monies surged the markets. Multiple investors were baffled why stocks were trading as much as 70 times dividends. When 10-20 times was considered great paybacks. Record profits corporate greed along with consumers debt keeps the economy pumping. But as long as consumers keep paying high prices nothing will change. For good or bad

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364279
03/14/25 12:04 AM
03/14/25 12:04 AM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
Oh yes, please "correct me" PF, I long to be like the wife you have tied up in your basement! crazy

Warren Buffett style value investing is great, and also what I'd recommend to anyone just getting into investing, or investing NOW for the future, which is what you are doing! I do it too!

But, someone asking how to time the market, does not in any way indicate that they're not watching the markets, or that they will not in the future. I know this, as I was once one of those people. I agree that it's impossible for anyone to "time the market" as in knowing where the bottom, or top is..... but people time the market every day, and make... or lose... a lot of money in doing so via options and futures.

In case you haven't noticed, not many on here support or defend you. And I ain't a waitress, or bartender. I'm three classes away from having my Bachelor's in finance. But carry on... I'm sure all of tman is waiting with bated breath for your next snippet of financial advice.


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: jbyrd63] #8364281
03/14/25 12:20 AM
03/14/25 12:20 AM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
Anyone that denies the current market was manipulated by the Biden administration is blind or just ignorant. Biden’s second year was a disaster for the market. False reporting and influx of printed monies surged the markets. Multiple investors were baffled why stocks were trading as much as 70 times dividends. When 10-20 times was considered great paybacks. Record profits corporate greed along with consumers debt keeps the economy pumping. But as long as consumers keep paying high prices nothing will change. For good or bad


Yes government spending and the low interest rated drove the markets high and they have been overvalued. The correction is long over due. I thought it would have started a few years ago. I thought there was no way they could keep going up, Proving I was wrong and had I stopped investing I would have missed out on back to back 23 and 25% returns. I also tried to time the market this year and I bought to soon. What to know when a stock will drop just wait untill I buy it. So now I'm down for the year on most things not all but down overall none the less. I'm glad to see the markets down now I'm not buying at near record highs each week and when it goes back up I will make more. There have been 16 recessions in the last hundred years. Pull backs are good for the markets and where money is made.

In 10 years this pull back will be nothing. If your at or near retirement age and need the cash and don't have time for a recovery keep what % you need in safer investments. myself I have 11 years minimum and will be throwing all I can every year but moving a % into more conservative investments as I get closer to retirement.

It's a plan. But I have never had any thing go as planed in my life and this is not likey to either. But it's working so far and the same plan that had done well for countless others.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364283
03/14/25 12:22 AM
03/14/25 12:22 AM
Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
J
jbyrd63 Offline
trapper
jbyrd63  Offline
trapper
J

Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
If a person bought 20,000 in gold coins in 2020 how much is it worth today?

Re: Stock market? [Re: yotetrapper30] #8364285
03/14/25 12:29 AM
03/14/25 12:29 AM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by yotetrapper30
Oh yes, please "correct me" PF, I long to be like the wife you have tied up in your basement! crazy

Warren Buffett style value investing is great, and also what I'd recommend to anyone just getting into investing, or investing NOW for the future, which is what you are doing! I do it too!

But, someone asking how to time the market, does not in any way indicate that they're not watching the markets, or that they will not in the future. I know this, as I was once one of those people. I agree that it's impossible for anyone to "time the market" as in knowing where the bottom, or top is..... but people time the market every day, and make... or lose... a lot of money in doing so via options and futures.

In case you haven't noticed, not many on here support or defend you. And I ain't a waitress, or bartender. I'm three classes away from having my Bachelor's in finance. But carry on... I'm sure all of tman is waiting with bated breath for your next snippet of financial advice.



So you just agreed with everything I said. Proving my point. And typically for an over 30 woman thinking your degree you don't yet have means anything. So are going to school pat on the back. Maybe take some classes on taxes along with that finance degree. Pss I don't have a basement but seems like you have some sort of a fetishist or obsession about my wife being tied up.

So do you like jute, hemp or cotton rope. Each has its advantages and disadvantages depending on task.

Re: Stock market? [Re: jbyrd63] #8364286
03/14/25 12:30 AM
03/14/25 12:30 AM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
P
Providence Farm Offline
trapper
Providence Farm  Offline
trapper
P

Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
If a person bought 20,000 in gold coins in 2020 how much is it worth today?



No where as much as if they bought Nividia.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364290
03/14/25 12:39 AM
03/14/25 12:39 AM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
I agreed with some of what you said, but not nearly all of it.

I prefer Jute.... but it's certainly never something you'll ever need to concern yourself over.


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: Providence Farm] #8364291
03/14/25 12:42 AM
03/14/25 12:42 AM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
If a person bought 20,000 in gold coins in 2020 how much is it worth today?



No where as much as if they bought Nividia.


If you don't wanna look like a total idiot, learn how to spell Nvidia. I bet you pronounce it "niv-id-ia" too.


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364292
03/14/25 01:18 AM
03/14/25 01:18 AM
Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
J
jbyrd63 Offline
trapper
jbyrd63  Offline
trapper
J

Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
Nvidia down 27% going lower. Yeah ic frog had wings his but wouldn’t get sore from jumping. How much nvidia did you buy in 2020 ?

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364293
03/14/25 01:19 AM
03/14/25 01:19 AM
Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
J
jbyrd63 Offline
trapper
jbyrd63  Offline
trapper
J

Joined: Feb 2014
Ky
Yote can you skin a possum? Or run a track loader?

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364338
03/14/25 06:24 AM
03/14/25 06:24 AM
Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
S
spjones Offline
trapper
spjones  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
The best time to invest in the stock market was 10 years ago

The second best time is today

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364397
03/14/25 08:10 AM
03/14/25 08:10 AM
Joined: May 2016
Southern Illinois
F
Foxpaw Offline
trapper
Foxpaw  Offline
trapper
F

Joined: May 2016
Southern Illinois
Seems like a good deal to run an economy into the ground and buy up the competition. No insider trading needed or allowed, the market simply tanked overall.

Re: Stock market? [Re: jbyrd63] #8364401
03/14/25 08:13 AM
03/14/25 08:13 AM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
trapper
yotetrapper30  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
Yote can you skin a possum? Or run a track loader?


I can skin a possum. Not even sure what a track loader is though. I can run a tractor, and a forklift though, does that count?


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: yotetrapper30] #8364409
03/14/25 08:23 AM
03/14/25 08:23 AM
Joined: May 2016
Southern Illinois
F
Foxpaw Offline
trapper
Foxpaw  Offline
trapper
F

Joined: May 2016
Southern Illinois
Originally Posted by yotetrapper30
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
Yote can you skin a possum? Or run a track loader?


I can skin a possum. Not even sure what a track loader is though. I can run a tractor, and a forklift though, does that count?


Actually you may have an advantage to running a tractor and a forklift. Women think with both sides of their brain, a man can only think with one brain at a time, lol.

Last edited by Foxpaw; 03/14/25 08:27 AM. Reason: sp
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364417
03/14/25 08:30 AM
03/14/25 08:30 AM
Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
S
spjones Offline
trapper
spjones  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
With all the advancements in AI and robotics

The world 5 years from now is going to look very different from today,,,,huge opportunities!!!

Wouldn’t be surprising if the market continued lower short term

Sticking with my prediction of uncertainty for the next 6 months,,,

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364433
03/14/25 08:51 AM
03/14/25 08:51 AM
Joined: Jun 2008
el vado, nm
T
Tom Fisher Offline
trapper
Tom Fisher  Offline
trapper
T

Joined: Jun 2008
el vado, nm
I've invested in traps,guns and dogs---the rest I wasted!

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364444
03/14/25 09:14 AM
03/14/25 09:14 AM
Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
S
spjones Offline
trapper
spjones  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
To each their own,,,it’s all good


Myself, I’ve invested every fur cheque I’ve received in equitys for the last 30 years

Always had another job to pay every day bills


It’s been good

Re: Stock market? [Re: spjones] #8364447
03/14/25 09:22 AM
03/14/25 09:22 AM
Joined: May 2010
MN
S
Steven 49er Offline
trapper
Steven 49er  Offline
trapper
S

Joined: May 2010
MN
Originally Posted by spjones
The best time to invest in the stock market was 10 years ago

The second best time is today




Best post going


"Gold is money, everything else is just credit" JP Morgan
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364469
03/14/25 10:02 AM
03/14/25 10:02 AM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
D
Dirt Offline
trapper
Dirt  Offline
trapper
D

Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
I could have got in in January. Wouldn't it be better not to get in when it is flat or dropping. Why take the short term loss?

P.S. That money is currently making money and will be a bigger pot when I invest it in the market in the future.

Last edited by Dirt; 03/14/25 10:05 AM.

Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: Dirt] #8364474
03/14/25 10:13 AM
03/14/25 10:13 AM
Joined: Nov 2010
USA-WI
K
Kre Offline
trapper
Kre  Offline
trapper
K

Joined: Nov 2010
USA-WI
Originally Posted by Dirt
I could have got in in January. Wouldn't it be better not to get in when it is flat or dropping. Why take the short term loss?

P.S. That money is currently making money and will be a bigger pot when I invest it in the market in the future.


Hindsight is always 20/20.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364480
03/14/25 10:20 AM
03/14/25 10:20 AM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
D
Dirt Offline
trapper
Dirt  Offline
trapper
D

Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
It wasn't hindsight. It was a deliberate move to make more money. It seems to be working?


Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: Dirt] #8364525
03/14/25 12:00 PM
03/14/25 12:00 PM
Joined: Nov 2010
USA-WI
K
Kre Offline
trapper
Kre  Offline
trapper
K

Joined: Nov 2010
USA-WI
Originally Posted by Dirt
It wasn't hindsight. It was a deliberate move to make more money. It seems to be working?


Of course it is. Had the market taken off in February, it may have been a bad decision. You don't know if a investment decision is good or bad until time passes. And, an investment may look good now, but look terrible in the future...or vice versa.

Here's some words from someone that knows a thing or 2 about investing:
Warren Buffett famously discourages market timing, emphasizing that "time in the market beats market timing" and that focusing on long-term value investing is more effective than trying to predict short-term market fluctuations.

Good luck with your investments!

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364530
03/14/25 12:11 PM
03/14/25 12:11 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
D
Dirt Offline
trapper
Dirt  Offline
trapper
D

Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
Why does everybody think people investing in the market are long term investors? Not a long term investor. There are patterns. Why would I ignore an obvious pattern? I didn't predict the fall, I saw the flat performance. That was enough. The drop just makes it a luckier decision.

One more time. I'm not a long term investor. I may not have 5 years to recover losses.

P.S. If the market would have taken off in February, I would have invested and caught the wave. That is the pattern I'm looking for.

Last edited by Dirt; 03/14/25 12:13 PM.

Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: Dirt] #8364535
03/14/25 12:17 PM
03/14/25 12:17 PM
Joined: Nov 2010
USA-WI
K
Kre Offline
trapper
Kre  Offline
trapper
K

Joined: Nov 2010
USA-WI
Originally Posted by Dirt
Why does everybody think people investing in the market are long term investors? Not a long term investor. There are patterns. Why would I ignore an obvious pattern? I didn't predict the fall, I saw the flat performance. That was enough. The drop just makes it a luckier decision.

One more time. I'm not a long term investor. I may not have 5 years to recover losses.

P.S. If the market would have taken off in February, I would have invested and caught the wave. That is the pattern I'm looking for.


Good for you. You should consider a career as a financial advisor.

Re: Stock market? [Re: Dirt] #8364537
03/14/25 12:23 PM
03/14/25 12:23 PM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
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Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by Dirt
Why does everybody think people investing in the market are long term investors? Not a long term investor. There are patterns. Why would I ignore an obvious pattern? I didn't predict the fall, I saw the flat performance. That was enough. The drop just makes it a luckier decision.

One more time. I'm not a long term investor. I may not have 5 years to recover losses.

P.S. If the market would have taken off in February, I would have invested and caught the wave. That is the pattern I'm looking for.


Then why pose this question to the uneducated masses? PM Ken, PM Steve.... get the answers you're looking for.


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: spjones] #8364543
03/14/25 12:33 PM
03/14/25 12:33 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
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Dirt Offline
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Originally Posted by spjones
With all the advancements in AI and robotics

The world 5 years from now is going to look very different from today,,,,huge opportunities!!!

Wouldn’t be surprising if the market continued lower short term

Sticking with my prediction of uncertainty for the next 6 months,,,






He already answered the question. Ken tended to agree, I thought.


Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: bblwi] #8364551
03/14/25 12:41 PM
03/14/25 12:41 PM
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WI
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WI
Originally Posted by bblwi
I ssure don't like a down market or losing capital but it was good time for us to move funds with losses and minimal gains into a 4.5 % money market fund in preperation for partial payments on our condo we need to build as my wife is not able to navigate steps and stairs well at all. Even after the two knee surguries, the pain is at least gone but the mobilty and strength is not coming back.
Did note that our SIN stocks such as tobacco, etc. are doing very well which is almost always the case when consumer confidence and attitudes along with anxiety increase.

Bryce

Prices go up and down but YOU DONT LOSE unless You SELL!

Re: Stock market? [Re: yotetrapper30] #8364552
03/14/25 12:43 PM
03/14/25 12:43 PM
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WI
Originally Posted by yotetrapper30
Originally Posted by Providence Farm
no one can time the market ever. Best results are dollar cost averaging in every single study I have looked at. Always be buying regardless of if it's up or going down. Long term you win.


Millions of options traders would disagree with this post, but you have proclaimed yourself as the be-all, know-all, tman financial guru, so who are any of us to speak against your words of wisdom?

It all depends on how you're investing.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364555
03/14/25 12:49 PM
03/14/25 12:49 PM
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We don't even know what or how the OP wants to invest. Kinda need to know that to answer his question.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364557
03/14/25 12:51 PM
03/14/25 12:51 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Williamsport, Pa.
J
jk Offline
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jk  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2006
Williamsport, Pa.
Different strokes for different blokes. I like trading frequently. We all knew that the tariffs would cause confusion and the market does not like confusion. Sold my poor stuff and my big winners and am buying back now.....jk

Last edited by jk; 03/14/25 02:48 PM.

Free people are not equal. Equal people are not free. What's supposed to be ain't always is. Hopper Hunter
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364561
03/14/25 12:52 PM
03/14/25 12:52 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
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spjones Offline
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Short term,,,,,European defense is a no brainer

Re: Stock market? [Re: WI Outdoors] #8364637
03/14/25 03:26 PM
03/14/25 03:26 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
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Dirt Offline
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Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
Originally Posted by WI Outdoors
Originally Posted by bblwi
I ssure don't like a down market or losing capital but it was good time for us to move funds with losses and minimal gains into a 4.5 % money market fund in preperation for partial payments on our condo we need to build as my wife is not able to navigate steps and stairs well at all. Even after the two knee surguries, the pain is at least gone but the mobilty and strength is not coming back.
Did note that our SIN stocks such as tobacco, etc. are doing very well which is almost always the case when consumer confidence and attitudes along with anxiety increase.

Bryce

Prices go up and down but YOU DONT LOSE unless You SELL!


I understand what you are saying. However, the OP is asking when to put money in the market. If his money is currently earning 5% per year in a fixed investment, or a money market account he is making money. If he had it in the market the last 3 months he would have earned nothing. If he invests this money plus the interest 3 months from now and the market still hasn't recovered to January levels he would be ahead that interest and wouldn't have the paper losses. I could be wrong? What he would have loss by investing in the market in January would be the 5 percent interest for a 6 month period.

What he appears to be timing is the buy in?

Not giving advice. Not telling anybody to do this. Just looking at the logic of the strategy.


Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: midlander] #8364690
03/14/25 04:57 PM
03/14/25 04:57 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Huntingdon Co. Pa.
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forestman3 Offline
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Joined: Dec 2006
Huntingdon Co. Pa.


What type of 'something else' are you thinking that would have been a wiser choice?[/quote]

I wish I would of bought ground and put storage buildings on it or bought apartments that had three or four apartments in them or bought a condo at the beach.All would of been giving me monthly income now.I`m 62 and I only put money in a retirement at work.I never understood it and still don`t but I trusted the finacial adviser and that was a misstake in my opinion.If your young invest in something you understand.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364741
03/14/25 06:19 PM
03/14/25 06:19 PM
Joined: May 2010
MN
S
Steven 49er Offline
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Joined: May 2010
MN
Angela, don't ask me for advice. I like gold.

If a person's investment window is say ten years plus invest on a consistent regular basis. Trying to time the market is a fools errand for the average investor
Nothing wrong with buying the dips but I'd suggest saving some extra money for that.

Of an interesting note the M1 money supply has gone down about ten percent give or take.


"Gold is money, everything else is just credit" JP Morgan
Re: Stock market? [Re: forestman3] #8364753
03/14/25 06:28 PM
03/14/25 06:28 PM
Joined: Mar 2023
WI
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WI
Originally Posted by forestman3


What type of 'something else' are you thinking that would have been a wiser choice?


I wish I would of bought ground and put storage buildings on it or bought apartments that had three or four apartments in them or bought a condo at the beach.All would of been giving me monthly income now.I`m 62 and I only put money in a retirement at work.I never understood it and still don`t but I trusted the finacial adviser and that was a misstake in my opinion.If your young invest in something you understand.
[/quote]

Me too.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364754
03/14/25 06:32 PM
03/14/25 06:32 PM
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Dirt, what we don't know is how long or what are the investment goals. What are they buying? Single stocks? Bonds? Mutual funds? Etc etc.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364758
03/14/25 06:35 PM
03/14/25 06:35 PM
Joined: Jan 2019
North central Iowa
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Bob_Iowa Offline
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North central Iowa
Steven, do you think the money is going back to the government though bonds or where is it moving to create drop?

Re: Stock market? [Re: bowhunter27295] #8364789
03/14/25 06:57 PM
03/14/25 06:57 PM
Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
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Providence Farm Offline
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Joined: Feb 2020
Indiana
Originally Posted by bowhunter27295
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
If a person bought 20,000 in gold coins in 2020 how much is it worth today?


Do tell. I don't have a clue or want to look it up.

I made 40% on my 401k last year. Is gold better?



He has no clue. Prefers low risk safe investment like cd and bonds. That's cool if that's what works for him. My issue is he seems to think his way it the only way and try to take a shot about it. Never seems to understand short term dips have little bearing on long term investing or I achieve many times the return he is getting.

But the low risk is his comfort level.

Yotetrapper30 typically tries to take a shot at me then ends up agreeing, admitting she may not know the subject matter( taxes) Or this pose is a good example. Just she doesn't like my take on female phycology among other things. Yet always is a shining example if exactly what I say. Amd true to form takes a general statement about 52 % of the population personally. Unlike men that can smile and admit yep a lot of men are like that and know that does not mean all or is it directed directly at them. It's not just me I have gotten pm saying she has gotten snappy with others and they had no idea what ticked her off. At least I know I don't care but I know.

Good conditioned jute is a good choice and you can believe me I have absolutely no interest in anything to do with you Yotetrapper30. I find you less than ideal from my limited interactions here.

Re: Stock market? [Re: Steven 49er] #8364799
03/14/25 07:03 PM
03/14/25 07:03 PM
Joined: May 2011
Oakland, MS
yotetrapper30 Offline
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Oakland, MS
Originally Posted by Steven 49er
Angela, don't ask me for advice. I like gold.

If a person's investment window is say ten years plus invest on a consistent regular basis. Trying to time the market is a fools errand for the average investor
Nothing wrong with buying the dips but I'd suggest saving some extra money for that.

Of an interesting note the M1 money supply has gone down about ten percent give or take.


Which is why I asked Ken instead of you, grin

But you're still very knowledgeable!! Yes, you like gold, but you also like crypto, which I am interested in... so I follow your posts....


The devil's greatest trick isn't making us think he doesn't exist. It's flattering us. So we don't see..... the devil is us.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364805
03/14/25 07:07 PM
03/14/25 07:07 PM
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North central Iowa
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Bob_Iowa Offline
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To answer Jbyrds question, if you spent 20000 dollars in gold in january of 2020 the price I found was 1527.70 and with a price now of 2997.80 it would be worth 39245.9 so you would have and increase in 19245.90.

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8364921
03/14/25 09:25 PM
03/14/25 09:25 PM
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Originally Posted by 2zwudz
What is your best guess when to invest in the stock market? Its going to go down more but when do you think it will be best to invest?


My recommendation is to dump all in as soon as it hits rock bottom. In his first term, Trump was all about the stock market because it was doing good. Now he says it’s going to go up and it’s going to go down. Might be because it’s going down now…idk. Maybe just keep an eye on it. Uncle Jbyrd will let you know when it’s time. He has the crystal ball.

Re: Stock market? [Re: Bob_Iowa] #8364935
03/14/25 10:07 PM
03/14/25 10:07 PM
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MN
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Steven 49er Offline
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MN
Originally Posted by Bob_Iowa
Steven, do you think the money is going back to the government though bonds or where is it moving to create drop?


It's being destroyed.

If money can be created it can be destroyed.

When the money supply shrinks it tends to be deflationary.

Angela, don't get me wrong, I like stocks and bonds for growth. I like gold because I like it. I wouldn't want to try and retire on it.


"Gold is money, everything else is just credit" JP Morgan
Re: Stock market? [Re: jbyrd63] #8364979
03/15/25 02:47 AM
03/15/25 02:47 AM
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Indiana
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Indiana
Originally Posted by jbyrd63
Nvidia down 27% going lower. Yeah ic frog had wings his but wouldn’t get sore from jumping. How much nvidia did you buy in 2020 ?


and 20 k in 2020 would be 450k today even being down currently. Just a touch more profitable than the under 20 of gold proffit but that's not counting buyers and selling premiums.

Re: Stock market? [Re: Foxpaw] #8384084
04/10/25 02:40 AM
04/10/25 02:40 AM
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Southern Illinois
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Southern Illinois
Originally Posted by Foxpaw
Seems like a good deal to run an economy into the ground and buy up the competition. No insider trading needed or allowed, the market simply tanked overall.


And the cockatrice eggs hatch!

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8384107
04/10/25 04:38 AM
04/10/25 04:38 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Very SE Nebraska
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Gary Benson Offline
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Very SE Nebraska
Maybe a little over-reaction. Isn't everybody with money in a 401k buying up the competition? Money managers are busy now buying lows so their investors will make money.


Life ain't supposed to be easy.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8384141
04/10/25 06:15 AM
04/10/25 06:15 AM
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Manitoba
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Manitoba
If you follow the laws of physics, money and energy are very similar. Energy can’t be created, only converted. If you start printing money, you’re going to wind up in trouble……but we all know that stuff. Grade 10 physics 101.


Wind Blew, crap flew, out came the line crew
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402099
05/12/25 07:16 AM
05/12/25 07:16 AM
Joined: Feb 2011
alberta
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spjones Offline
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alberta
It’s been almost a month,,,

Everybody ok now?

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402101
05/12/25 07:20 AM
05/12/25 07:20 AM
Joined: Dec 2010
Armpit, ak
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Dirt Offline
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Armpit, ak
You predicted 6 months. I'm watching. ^^^^^^^^^^^^


Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402103
05/12/25 07:22 AM
05/12/25 07:22 AM
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alberta
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spjones Offline
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alberta
Sooner than I thought,,,

Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402109
05/12/25 07:36 AM
05/12/25 07:36 AM
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Armpit, ak
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Dirt Offline
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Armpit, ak
Which way is the FED going to go? Up or down or sideways?


Who is John Galt?
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402117
05/12/25 07:51 AM
05/12/25 07:51 AM
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MT
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snowy Offline
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MT
Opportunity is equally as good in down markets. The safest way to double your money is to fold it over and put it in your pocket.


Give me a fish, I will eat for a day. Teach me to fish, I will eat for a lifetime
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402224
05/12/25 01:16 PM
05/12/25 01:16 PM
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pa
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hippie Offline
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pa
Hope China lives up to the tariff agreement.


There comes a point liberalism has gone too far, we're past that point.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402305
05/12/25 04:13 PM
05/12/25 04:13 PM
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Very SE Nebraska
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Gary Benson Offline
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[Linked Image]


Life ain't supposed to be easy.
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8402311
05/12/25 04:23 PM
05/12/25 04:23 PM
Joined: Nov 2007
St. Cloud, MN
trapperkeck Offline
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St. Cloud, MN
My 100 shares of TSLA I bought at $228 is looking pretty good right now @ $317+. Even with my United Healthcare stock going down AGAIN, it was a good day for me. Actually, it's been a pretty good 10 days or so.


"The voice of reason!"
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8403303
05/14/25 07:29 AM
05/14/25 07:29 AM
Joined: Oct 2009
Atlin, British Columbia Canada
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cat catcher Offline
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Atlin, British Columbia Canada
United health is still going down, would have thought it would level out by now.

Re: Stock market? [Re: spjones] #8403304
05/14/25 07:31 AM
05/14/25 07:31 AM
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Atlin, British Columbia Canada
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cat catcher Offline
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Atlin, British Columbia Canada
Originally Posted by spjones
It’s been almost a month,,,

Everybody ok now?


What did you predict?

Re: Stock market? [Re: cat catcher] #8403480
05/14/25 02:41 PM
05/14/25 02:41 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
McGrath, AK
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white17 Offline

"General (Mr.Sunshine) Washington"
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McGrath, AK
Originally Posted by cat catcher
United health is still going down, would have thought it would level out by now.



I hope it is because I just sold a put credit spread on UNH. We'll see how soon I regret that


Mean As Nails
Re: Stock market? [Re: cat catcher] #8403655
05/14/25 08:40 PM
05/14/25 08:40 PM
Joined: Nov 2007
St. Cloud, MN
trapperkeck Offline
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St. Cloud, MN
Originally Posted by cat catcher
United health is still going down, would have thought it would level out by now.

It was up $10 to start the day, then receded like my hairline. For the record, I've made worse investments. Although, this one could still make them others seem like Christmas. blush


"The voice of reason!"
Re: Stock market? [Re: 2zwudz] #8403759
05/14/25 11:17 PM
05/14/25 11:17 PM
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Atlin, British Columbia Canada
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cat catcher Offline
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I think I might buy some untied health soon.

Bought some GEV

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